Blue Flower

This year, the 2018 Tour de France marks the 105th year of this famous race.  Back in 2014, Vincenzo Nibali, last year’s Tour de France winner, took stage 19 with a strong finish, but overall favorite Chris Froome still has a comfortable lead with just two stages remaining.

Froome’s lead was cut from 3:10 to 2:38, with second place rider Nairo Quintana inching closer. There is still one mountain stage to go before the final leg – a relatively flat track ending in Paris.

It’s been a decent week for the overall favorite, with the top American Tejay van Garderen pulling out, leaving behind his third place standing. Saturday’s final mountain leg is shaping up to be Quintana’s last chance to cut into Froome’s lead.

The Colombian is still a hefty 13:2 underdog according to the sportsbook pay per head to overtake the leader, but Froome is still the overwhelming favorite at a steep 1:14 price. Nobody else has a chance in the eyes of the online sportsbooks, with Nibali, Valverde, and Contador all between 100:1 and 150:1 odds to pull the miracle upset.

Quintana is the early favorite to win the 20th stage, not surprising given the urgency of Quintana if he has any chance of making up time. Froome is the second choice to win the stage at 4:1, with Friday’s winner Nibali next at 12:1 Quintana seems like the safe bet to make here at 5:6, and while Nibali rode very well Friday one has to wonder how much he has left in the tank after that run.

If Froome is able to keep up with Quintana on Saturday, then it will make for a drama-free cruise to Paris on Sunday. But if Froome starts to ware down, Sunday could suddenly get very interesting.

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